Sunday, 24 December 2023

India Corporate: Sector Trends 2024 a comprehensive report by Fitch credit rating agency

 

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An Latest report recently published by Fitch and they expects that India’s resilient economic growth will boost demand for the corporate. They named this report as “’India Corporate: Sector Trends 2024” In which they highlighted that this is a sequel to the robust performance of the corporate in 2023 and will offset weakness from slowing growth in the key overseas markets.

Rising demand and easing input cost pressure should boost margins of the corporate in the next financial year, Fitch said. Fitch said that with strong domestic demand growth, it is expected that India will be among the world’s fastest-growing countries, with resilient GDP growth of 6.5 per cent during the fiscal 2024-25

This is despite a challenging global backdrop and the cumulative impact of the recent monetary tightening, it said. Sectors like cement, electricity and petroleum products are expected to witness a strong demand with high-frequency data in 2023 sustained well above pre-COVID pandemic levels.

Fitch said that India’s improving infrastructure will also boost steel demand. Slowing down in the US and the Euro-zone is likely to moderate growth of the IT services. Fitch said rising domestic auto sales volume should drive revenues of the auto suppliers, while travel and tourism conditions also improved in 2023.

Key sector which could outperform  :

·         Cyclical sectorsBanking, infrastructurepower, manufacturing, and capital goods are likely to benefit from increased investment activity.

·         Consumer-driven sectorsFMCG, retail, and e-commerce are expected to thrive on robust domestic demand and digital adoption.

·         IT: IT services, cloud computing, AI, and cyber security are poised for continued growth with increased digitalization across industries.

·         Green energy Renewableenergy, electric vehicles, and clean technology are gaining traction due to government initiatives and environmental consciousness.

 

Key  Risks:

·         Global slowdown: Rising interest rates and geopolitical tensions could dampen global trade and impact export-oriented sectors.

·         Inflation : Rising input costs and supply chain disruptions may squeeze corporate margins.

·         Geopolitical uncertainties: Ongoing conflicts and international tensions could create volatility in markets.

 

Trends :

·         Sustainability and ESG: Focus on environmental, social, and governance factors is increasing, shaping investment decisions and corporate strategies.

·         Innovation and disruption: New technologies and business models are transforming industries, creating opportunities and challenges for incumbents.

·         Focus on rural markets: Increasing attention to rural infrastructure, digitization, and agri-businesses hold significant potential.

·         Government's role: Policy reforms, infrastructure development, and skill development initiatives will play a crucial role in shaping the corporate landscape.

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